Online Avalanche Course
This section is a beginners guide to avalanche forecasts, danger scales, danger types and some of the mitigations available to those heading into the backcountry. We highly recommend you take the necessary avalanche rescue equipment (Shovel, Transceiver, Probe) as well as specific training on avalanches and backcountry travel.
Quickly explore a section of this page
- Online Training Module
- 'How To' Guide
- The Danger Scale
- Primary, Secondary, Tertiary Dangers
- Forecast Page FAQ
"This is the scale produced by a joint U.S. Canadian committee, the North American Avalanche Danger Scale Project (NAADSP) published in the fall of 2010. It has also been adopted by all English-speaking countries. Understanding the New Zealand danger will help you make more informed decisions on route select and terrain choices, based on the days forecast danger level.
The danger scale will give you four important bits of information. Firstly the danger level; the danger level is assigned a word and colour which reflect the likelihood of trigger and the destructive size of the avalanche. This gives a broad overview and the specifics are discussed in the following boxes. Based on the forecast avalanche danger level travel advise is given. This travel advise gives tips on terrain features to avoid and insights into the spatial distribution of the avalanche problem. Finally avalanche likelihood, size and distribution are in the last two boxes. This will not only tell you how likely a human-triggered avalanche is but also the destructive size and spatial distribution of likely avalanches. All this information should greatly influence your route selection and decision making not only on the slopes but well before you even step foot in avalanche terrain."
Avalanche dangers is a broad overview of the avalanche forecast. Avalanche problems are an extension of this to help you understand the type of avalanche you may encounter and how you can best avoid them. In the avalanche forecast, avalanche problems are found in the primary, secondary and tertiary avalanche danger sections and are described by avalanche character, location, size and likelihood of trigger.
Lets quickly touch on each one
- Avalanche characters: This is a description of the kind of avalanche you are most likely to encounter throughout the day. This describes one of eight possible avalanche types; all which have different characteristics and should influence your travel choices. The avalanche character is displayed on the top left of the avalanche primary, secondary and tertiary avalanche danger sections.
- Avalanche Location: On the NZAA this information is displayed on the avalanche rose. This diagram tells you not only the aspect you are most likely to encounter avalanches on but also the elevation. Picture this diagram as a 3D mountain with the outer section being the base of the mountain and the central rose being the summit. The 'rose' allows you to understand where and what elevation you can expect to encounter that specific avalanche character.
- Likelihood: The likelihood of triggering an avalanche can change day to day and even hour to hour. This is shown on a graph with the lower sections having a lower likelihood and the upper section having a higher likelihood. The likelihood is described by the words unlikely, likely and certain.
- Size: Much like likelihood size of an avalanche is shown on a bar graph. The size is described using the words smallest to largest and reflects the destructive size scale. If you are unaware of the destructive size scale check out our free online avalanche course.
Combing these four avalanche 'problems' describes the avalanche danger in far more detail, telling you what type of avalanche to expect and aspect and elevation you should expect to encounter it on and finally the likelihood and size of the triggered avalanche. Combing all four problems will help you to make informed decisions on where and when to travel in avalanche terrain.
How often are they updated?
During the forecast season, the NZAA is updated daily by a highly experienced team of forecasters around the country. During certain conditions, the NZAA forecasts are updated several times during a day. It always pays to refresh the forecast closer to the time you're heading out.